The strong Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) over the easternmost part of the Caroline Islands has rapidly strengthened into a Tropical Depression (TD) this morning and eventually into a Tropical Storm (TS) tagged as 27W. Based on the initial Global Dynamic Forecast Models (GDFM), 27W is likely to become a Typhoon as it passes close to Guam and the Southern Marianas on Saturday, Nov 21st. The long-range forecast shows that there is a 50-50 chance that this storm will enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday or Tuesday (Nov 23-24).
As of 5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) today, Tuesday, November 17, 2015, the center of TS 27W was located some 350 km Southeast of Pohnpei State, Micronesia or 3,790 km East-Southeast of the Philippines [5.0N 160.8E]...with maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness up to 85 kph. It was moving West-Northwest to Northwest at 32 kph towards Central Micronesia.
TS 27W is still too far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines.