Post by Admin on Dec 14, 2015 7:41:06 GMT 8
Tropical Depression (96W) StormWatch No. 01
The strong Tropical Disturbance 96W (LPA) over the western part of the Caroline Islands has rapidly strengthened into a Tropical Depression (TD) this morning and could pose a threat to the eastern sections of the Philippines early next week. Based on the initial Global Dynamic Forecast Models (GDFM), the depression is likely to become a Tropical Storm (TS) later tonight and could enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early Saturday morning, Dec 12. The medium-range forecast shows that there is a 60% chance that this storm will reach and affect the Bicol Region beginning Tuesday through Wednesday (Dec 15-16). However, the confidence level of this forecast is currently low.
As of 11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) today, Friday, December 11, 2015, the center of the TD was located some 102 km Southeast of Yap State, Micronesia or 1,384 km East of Northeastern Mindanao, Philippines [8.9N 138.8E]...with maximum sustained winds of 45 kph near the center and gustiness up to 65 kph. It was moving West-Northwest at 22 kph towards the Eastern part of the Philippine Sea.
The TD is still far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines.
The strong Tropical Disturbance 96W (LPA) over the western part of the Caroline Islands has rapidly strengthened into a Tropical Depression (TD) this morning and could pose a threat to the eastern sections of the Philippines early next week. Based on the initial Global Dynamic Forecast Models (GDFM), the depression is likely to become a Tropical Storm (TS) later tonight and could enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early Saturday morning, Dec 12. The medium-range forecast shows that there is a 60% chance that this storm will reach and affect the Bicol Region beginning Tuesday through Wednesday (Dec 15-16). However, the confidence level of this forecast is currently low.
As of 11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) today, Friday, December 11, 2015, the center of the TD was located some 102 km Southeast of Yap State, Micronesia or 1,384 km East of Northeastern Mindanao, Philippines [8.9N 138.8E]...with maximum sustained winds of 45 kph near the center and gustiness up to 65 kph. It was moving West-Northwest at 22 kph towards the Eastern part of the Philippine Sea.
The TD is still far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines.